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Team#12387whoareconspirators？1.Introduction1.1.DescriptionandanalysisoftheproblemsTherearesomeconspiratorsinacompanycommitingacriminalact.Thegoalforusistofindthemostlikelycandidatesfortheunidentifiedco‐conspiratorsandunknownleadersthroughanalysingasmallsetofmessagesfromagroupof83workersinthecompany.1.2.Theanalysisoftherequirements:1.2.1.Requirement1Requirement1needsustoprioritizethe83nodesbylikelihoodofbeingpartoftheconspiracyaccordingtotheknowninformationthat7conspirators,8nonconspiratorsandthreesuspicioustopics.Aftergettingtheprioritylistwecannominatetheconspiracyleaders.1.2.2.Requirement2Asforrequirement2,weshouldconsiderhowwouldtheprioritylistchangeifnewinformationcomestolight.Forexample,increasingsuspicioustopicsandtheknownconspirators..1.2.3.Requirement3Requirement3asksustoanalysehowthesemanticnetworkanalysisandthetextanalysiscanbeappliedtothisproblem,.1.2.4.Requiremen4However，AnalyticHierarchyProcessisonlyapplicabletosmallamountofdata,whenitcomestolargedatabases,themethodcanbeverytedious.Thus,themethodshouldbeimprovedbeforeitcanbeappliedwidely.Whatismore,theapplicationofthemethodshouldalsobeextendedtootherfield,suchasbiology.2.Models2.1.Assumption1.Tosimplifytheproblem,wesupposethatallthegiveninformationisreliable.2.Webelievethattheconspiratorswillnotavoidtalkingsuspicioustopics.Whatismore,themorefrequentlyapeopletalkingsuspicioustopic,themorepossibleheisaconspirator.3.Weassumethattheleaderintheconspiracyhasonlyone,andtheleaderisamongthethreeseniormanagers(Jerome,Delores,andGretchen).4.Theinformationprovidedintheappendicescanreflectthesituationinreallife.5.Forfearofexposing,thenumberoftheconspiratorsisnottoolarge.Team#123872.2.DataProcessing1.Tomaketheaccountmoreconvenient,weregulatethatthenameofthepeopleisrepresentedbythecodeintheNames.xls2.ElsiehastwocodesintheNames.xls.Oneisseven,andtheotheristhirty-seven.Weshouldmakesurethatwhichcodeistherealcodeoftheperson,thejudgingmethodiscriminalreasoningmethodandSem
