Aswecloseoutthefirstweekofthegovernmentshutdown,abiggerandevenmoretoxicdisasteriscreepingintothefraythatcouldmakethecontentiousbudgetbattlelooklikeaslapfight.TheTreasuryDepartmentsaidUncleSamwillbebrokebyOctober17thunlesssomethingisdone.当我们结束的第一个星期关闭政府,一个更大更严重的灾难正在悄悄进入战斗,可能使争议的预算之争看起来像一个耳光战斗。美国财政部说,如果不采取措施的话美国政府将在10月17日前破产。"Iftheyseriouslydefaultonthedebt,whatwe'rereallytalkingaboutisadepression,"saysveteranfinancialsectoranalystRichardBove,VPofresearchatRaffertyCapitalMarkets.如果他们严重拖欠债务,那我们真正讨论是一个经济萧条,“金融行业资深分析师RichardBove说，一位拉弗蒂的资本市场研发副总裁。"Thefirstthingyouhavetodoislookatwhoholdsthedebt,"Bovesaysofthe$16.7trillionofbondstheU.S.currentlyhasoutstanding."Thefirst,biggestowner(ofU.S.debt)isthesocialsecurityfund,soyou'dhaveallofthesepeoplewhoarereceivingsocialsecuritypaymentswhonowhavetoquestionwhetherthey'llgettheirpayments."“你要做的第一件事是看看谁持有这些债务，“Bove说的16.7万亿美元的债券,目前是未偿贷款。“第一,最大的所有者(美国国债)是社会保障基金,因此这些接受社会保障金的人现在不得不质疑他们会不会受到付款。”Clearly,thatwouldcauseahugedisruptiontomillionsofAmericans.ButBovesaysthatisonlythebeginningsincethesecondbiggestholderofTreasuries(atabout12%ofthetotal)istheFederalReserve,whichhas"91%ofitsassetsbackedbyU.S.governmentdebt."显然,这将对数百万的美国人造成巨大的破坏。但Bove表示,这仅仅是开始，因为第二大持有美国国债(约占总数的12%)是美联储,它有“91%的资产是靠美国政府债务支持的。”AsBoveexplains,moneymarketfunds,whichareusedbyvirtuallyeverypersonwithasavingsorinvestmentaccount,arealso"heavilyloadedwithTreasuries."Soaremostbondfundsandso-calledbalancedfunds(growthandincomefunds).AdefaultonU.S.debtwouldnotonlycausemoneyfundsto"breakthebuck"--notbeabletopay100-centsforeachdollarinvested)--butwouldalsocauseforcedsellingbycountlessotherfundsthataremandatedtoimmediatelysellanyassetthathasdefaulted.作为波夫解释说,货币市场基金,几乎所有人的储蓄或投资账户都曾用于购买过它,也承载着国债”。“大多数债券基金和所谓的平衡基金(增长和收入基金)也是如此。美国债务违约不仅会引起货币基金“跌破净值”——无法支付100美分每投资1美元)——但也会引起被迫抛售，因为无数其他的基金被要求立即出售任何已经违约的资产。They'reactually"FederalReserveNotes"aswellasthenumberoneassetofchoiceheldinthereservesofgovernmentsandbusinessesallovertheworld.AplungeinTreasurieswouldalsodevaluethedollar,whic