盐城师范学院毕业论文盐城师范学院毕业论文2016－2017学年度南京禄口空港物流产业发展对策研究学生姓名刘澜学院商学院专业物流管理（国际物流）班级13（2）学号13318413指导教师霍伟伟2017年5月20日南京禄口空港物流产业发展对策研究摘要全球化程度加剧，机场地位越发凸显出来，各界开始重视机场周围的产业区建设，这些产业演变进化为城市新的经济增长点。物流产业作为禄口空港的重要临空产业，起着推动空港发展的作用，因此，它也开始探寻长远发展的有效途径。本文首先采用灰色预测对南京禄口空港的货邮吞吐量进行预测，指明了它的发展前景和研究价值。接着采用SWOT分析法对禄口空港优势和劣势进行分析，分析表明，禄口空港具有交通便利、地理位置优越的优点，也面临着同行业竞争和可替代的威胁。最终按照预测和分析的结果，从实际出发，对禄口空港物流产业如何发展提出可行性建议。【关键词】禄口空港；空港物流；SWOT分析法；灰色预测ResearchontheDevelopmentofLukouAirportLogisticsIndustryinNanjingAbstractThedegreeofglobalizationhasintensifiedandthestatusoftheairporthasbecomemoreprominent.Allsectorsbegantopayattentiontotheairportaroundtheindustrialareaconstruction,theevolutionoftheseindustriesevolvedintothecity'sneweconomicgrowthpoint.Thelogisticsindustry,asanimportantairportinLukouAirport,playsaroleinpromotingthedevelopmentofairports.Therefore,italsobegantoexploretheeffectivewayoflong-termdevelopment.ThispaperfirstusesthegrayforecasttoforecastthecargoandmailthroughputofNanjingLukouAirport,andpointsoutitsdevelopmentprospectandresearchvalue.Then,theSWOTanalysismethodisusedtoanalyzetheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofLukouAirport.TheanalysisshowsthatLukouAirporthastheadvantagesofconvenienttransportationandfavorablegeographicallocation,andalsofacescompetitionandsubstitutablethreatsinthesameindustry.Finally,accordingtotheresultsoftheforecastandanalysis,fromthereality,thedevelopmentofLukouairportlogisticsindustryputforwardfeasiblerecommendations.【Keywords】Lukouairport;airportlogistics;SWOTanalysismethod;grayprediction目录TOC\o"1-3"\h\uHYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872280"一、绪论PAGEREF_Toc482872280\h1HYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872281"（一）研究背景、目的与意义PAGEREF_Toc482872281\h1HYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872282"（二）国内外研究综述PAGEREF_Toc482872282\h1HYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872283"二、南京禄口空港物流产业现状及发展前景PAGEREF_Toc482872283\h3HYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872284"（一）南京禄口空港物流产业现状PAGEREF_Toc482872284\h3HYPERLINK\l"_Toc482872285"（二）南京禄口空港货运量预测PAGEREF_Toc482872285\h4HYPERL